Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.269653 0.316475 0.366224 0.422741 0.484888 0.550877 0.625978
2024-10-13 0.203337 0.266099 0.337434 0.423405 0.523110 0.634062 0.765817
2024-10-20 0.157032 0.228757 0.315678 0.426140 0.560204 0.715221 0.905566
2024-10-27 0.126944 0.205024 0.305464 0.439226 0.607923 0.809174 1.062909
2024-11-03 0.104285 0.186409 0.298220 0.453583 0.656200 0.904385 1.224198
2024-11-10 0.086153 0.170442 0.291682 0.466895 0.702348 0.997464 1.384889
2024-11-17 0.066510 0.148103 0.272949 0.461154 0.722064 1.056793 1.504415
2024-11-24 0.053843 0.134107 0.264042 0.467263 0.756488 1.134738 1.648181
2024-12-01 0.041235 0.117123 0.248043 0.461086 0.772735 1.188397 1.761183
2024-12-08 0.029611 0.098616 0.226734 0.444506 0.772515 1.219023 1.843860
2024-12-15 0.024139 0.091200 0.222820 0.453703 0.808660 1.298688 1.991624
2024-12-22 0.017697 0.079284 0.209124 0.445888 0.818944 1.342553 2.092029
2024-12-29 0.015255 0.076855 0.212967 0.467318 0.874200 1.451050 2.282775
2025-01-05 0.011385 0.068803 0.204779 0.467859 0.897651 1.515421 2.415004
2025-01-12 0.008491 0.062180 0.198364 0.470681 0.924309 1.584562 2.554626
2025-01-19 0.006825 0.058877 0.198404 0.484608 0.968451 1.679309 2.730651
2025-01-26 0.005521 0.056178 0.199313 0.499908 1.014922 1.777965 2.913154
2025-02-02 0.004393 0.053447 0.199705 0.514098 1.059803 1.874894 3.094375
2025-02-09 0.002826 0.046814 0.189690 0.507954 1.071263 1.922799 3.207408
2025-02-16 0.001994 0.043229 0.186529 0.514467 1.103343 2.001375 3.364296
2025-02-23 0.001141 0.037671 0.177106 0.507867 1.113104 2.046572 3.474193
2025-03-02 0.000479 0.030977 0.162849 0.490156 1.103057 2.061327 3.540399
2025-03-09 0.000289 0.029053 0.162061 0.499978 1.140153 2.147881 3.710356